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World Security Network reporting from London in the United Kingdom ,
February 03, 2011
1. We must learn from the thinking of Albert Einstein who, in unknown situations like this said: “Imagination is more important than knowledge” and “The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we were at when we created them”. We need creative foreign and domestic policies with fresh new ideas for the people of Egypt to manage the transition process over the next ten years including all elements and the majority of young people in this country. 2. The number one priority is to avoid a repeat of Iran in 1979/80. What started as a liberation movement from the Shah ended in the worst totalitarian rule in any Islamic state, from hope to nightmare as was accurately described in George Orwell’s famous novella “Animal Farm” in 1945. Never underestimate the drive for total power on the part of determined radicals who start soft but end hard, talk about the nation and freedom but eliminate all other political forces step by step. Nobody should underestimate the strength of the current core-Islamic radical movement of the Muslim Brotherhood, which on the surface seems to be moderate and diverse with elements who see a Turkey as a model and others who have an Islamic dictatorship as a political aim. They are integrated, but at heart promote dreams of a more radical, totalitarian Islamic Republic with no room for the Christian Copts or equal rights for women or democracy. The Brotherhood knows almost nothing about economics and how to stimulate new jobs, foreign investments or tourism. But with its social and grassroots network, it is the only Egypt-wide political movement. It is as unpredictable as the Sphinx in Giza. Would they ever except a multicultural Egypt, including Coptic Christians, or peace in the region? As Wikipedia states: “The Society of the Muslim Brothers (often simply Al-Ikhwan, The Brotherhood or MB) is an Islamist transnational movement and the largest political opposition organization in many Arab states. It is the world's oldest and largest Islamic political group,and the "world's most influential Islamist movement." It was founded in 1928 in Egypt by the Islamic scholar and Sufi schoolteacher Hassan al-Banna. The Brotherhood's stated goal is to instill the Qur'an and Sunnah as the "sole reference point for ... ordering the life of the Muslim family, individual, community ... and state". Since its inception in 1928 the movement has officially opposed violent means to achieve its goals, with some exceptions. The Muslim Brotherhood is banned in Egypt, and members have been arrested for their participation in it. As a means of circumventing the ban, supporters run for office as independents. The Brotherhood condemned terrorism and the 9/11 attack but whether or not it has ties to terrorism is a matter of dispute. Its position on violence has also caused disputes within the movement, with advocates of violence at times breaking away to form groups such as the Al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya (The Islamic Group) and Al Takfir Wal Hijra (Excommunication and Migration). Among the Brotherhood's more influential members was Sayyid Qutb. Qutb was the author of one of Islamism's most important books, Milestones, which called for the restoration of Islam by re-establishing the Sharia and by using "physical power and Jihad for abolishing the organizations and authorities of the Jahili system, which he believed to include the entire Muslim world”. Should the Muslim Brotherhood reach power, they could emerge like their Hamas friends in the Gaza Strip – as masters of suppression perhaps financed by Tehran, which is praising them already as friends. This worst-case scenario could develop, like in Iran, with a take-over of power within a few years, initially with a moderate President like Bani Sadr in 1980 and later full control by the radicals. The world has to analyze the historical power plays of all totalitarian movements in the past– the Nazis in Germany, Stalin in Russia, and Iran – to understand the mechanisms and dangers and how to neutralize them as a real danger for the future of Egypt. In Germany it took the Nazis a silent 11-year-long power play beginning 1928 when they first achieved real power in the Reichstag to Adolf Hitler’s appointment as Reichskanzler in 1933, the internationally respected Olympic games in 1936 and at the end the start of WWII in 1939 resulting in more than 50 million dead. Lessons learned?
The danger for Egypt: too inactive, too naïve and a new progressive
constitution with a power vacuum now followed by years of compromises
with the radical Muslim Brotherhood who in the end take over control.
The country must build up a new, diverse and democratic foundation with
new moderate political parties and candidates and a new free
constitution which guarantees human rights to all as well as a secular
Egypt. This is the litmus test for the Muslim Brothers. 5. The U.S.A. and Israel should keep the greatest distance from this process, with other Islamic states and the Europeans on the front. But where is the EU? Where is the Arab League? Israel must start a fresh policy of détente and a new double-strategy of power and reconciliation as NATO did versus the USSR with its successful Harmel-Report from 1967 and the German "Ostpolitik" of Willy Brandt. Other Arab states must start a reform process to avoid implosions of their states like in Tunesia and Egypt. What is needed is a responsible elite serving their country and people, rather than the egos of a few rich. They must integrate the Facebook children into society and the too many poor people behind the shadow of new skyscrapers. 6. Egypt cannot become a perfect Westminster-style democracy over night in 24 hours. It needs 20-30 years to develop a real democratic system but should start on this long and painful walk now. Let's support the freedom process in Egypt with patience and with realism and alertness, opposing the forces of totalitarianism cloaked under the cover of democracy to avoid a hijacking of the pro-democracy protests as happened in Iran in the 1980s. Dr. Hubertus Hoffmann President and Founder World Security Network Foundation
January 12, 2011. The Institute for the Research of Genocide Canada {IRGC} would like to voice concern over the proposed merger of your organization with the International Association of Genocide Scholars (IAGS).[1] IAGS's membership numbers remain highly questionable and they are certainly not representative of the majority of international scholars. IAGS is an obscure organization led by Prof. William Schabas, an academic who regrettably reduced himself to the position of being a genocide denier. Please be advised that the IAGS president, Prof. Schabas, offered his expertise to Serbian defendants at the Hague Tribunal, who had been charged with crimes of genocide. His proposed testimony - in which he aimed to deny genocide in Srebrenica - was rejected on the grounds that there were conflicts of interest[2] with specific respect to the close friendship that he enjoyed with the Judges Carmel Agius and Kimberly Prost.[3][4] In his book, entitled "Genocide in International Law: The Crimes of Crimes" (Cambridge University Press, 2d ed., 2009), Prof. Schabas denies that the killing of Slav citizens under Nazi occupation constituted genocide. The same book denies genocide during the Bosnian war of the 1990’s. We wish to draw attention to the following facts: [i] That the killings of Serbs by the Ustasha forces and the killings of Bosniaks by the Chetnik forces during World War II were and are, indeed, widely recognized as acts of genocide. [ii] With respect to the Bosnian war of 1992-1995, three cases were legally validated as genocide; they included: [a] the Srebrenica massacres (Prosecutor v. Radislav Krstic), [b] the Doboj massacres (Prosecutor v. Nikola Jorgic), and [c] the Foca massacres (Prosecutor v. Novislav Djajic). In 2005, both Houses of the United States Congress passed resolutions asserting that the policies of aggression and the internationally referred to ‘ethnic cleansing’ as implemented by Serb and Croatian Ustasha forces in Bosnia and Herzegovina between 1992 and 1995 - including the Srebrenica massacre - constituted genocide. A leading holocaust researcher, Dr. Robert Jay Lifton - author of several books, including "The Nazi Doctors: Medical Killing and the Psychology of Genocide" and "The Genocidal Mentality: Nazi Holocaust and the Nuclear Threat", agrees that what happened to the Bosniaks "merits the use of the word genocide." He is recipient of a ‘Nobel Lectureship’, ‘the Holocaust Memorial Award’ and the ‘Gandhi Peace Award’. Since the 1960s, Dr. Lifton has been internationally recognized for his research into the diverse aspects of genocide. According to Dr. Lifton, "What's happening there [in Bosnia and Herzegovina] merits the use of the word ‘genocide’. There is an effort to systematically destroy an entire group. It's even been conceptualized by Serbian nationalists as so-called 'ethnic cleansing'. That term signifies mass killing, mass relocation, and that constitutes genocide."[5] Furthermore, the former leader of the Bosnian Serbs is currently defending himself against charges of genocide in connection with terrible crimes committed in and across 11 Bosnian and Herzegovian municipalities. After due consideration and with reference to the above text, IRGC ascertains that nothing short of irreparable damage will permeate the credibility of any organization seriously concerned with genocide, who might decide to merge with this association. Respectfully, Professor Emir Ramic Director IRGC
[1]
Letter from Prof. William Schabas, 7 October 2010. WHAT DOES THE EU SAY ABOUT THIS? EUROPEAN CIVILIZATION DENMARK: WHAT A SHAME This happens in Denmark
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